Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.599182 1.682347 1.768251 1.863785 1.967260 2.076178 2.199785
2026-02-01 1.420209 1.536077 1.660891 1.806020 1.970998 2.153749 2.372948
2026-02-08 1.281214 1.414286 1.562181 1.740101 1.950180 2.192696 2.497353
2026-02-15 1.191000 1.336690 1.502819 1.708462 1.959303 2.259567 2.652874
2026-02-22 1.130002 1.286440 1.468841 1.700381 1.991195 2.351101 2.841492
2026-03-01 1.071603 1.234283 1.427474 1.677937 2.000448 2.411294 2.991055
2026-03-08 1.002477 1.164664 1.359915 1.617091 1.954590 2.394262 3.032108
2026-03-15 0.966056 1.132889 1.336738 1.609963 1.976187 2.465514 3.198390
2026-03-22 0.956252 1.133248 1.353184 1.653918 2.067040 2.635788 3.521046
2026-03-29 0.929955 1.111082 1.339109 1.655845 2.099546 2.725372 3.731017
2026-04-05 0.909362 1.095063 1.331838 1.665839 2.142915 2.832464 3.977442
2026-04-12 0.884812 1.072685 1.314856 1.661059 2.164055 2.907005 4.177802
2026-04-19 0.852918 1.041151 1.286517 1.642173 2.168191 2.963227 4.367440
2026-04-26 0.818008 1.004570 1.250167 1.610553 2.152146 2.988007 4.508810
2026-05-03 0.779220 0.961425 1.203133 1.561243 2.106260 2.961592 4.555860
2026-05-10 0.751582 0.932354 1.174305 1.536825 2.096817 2.993311 4.713819
2026-05-17 0.731999 0.913479 1.158777 1.530933 2.115488 3.072715 4.973023
2026-05-24 0.709606 0.889884 1.135543 1.512143 2.112033 3.113454 5.160697
2026-05-31 0.678157 0.852740 1.091704 1.460157 2.051674 3.049862 5.124935
2026-06-07 0.662622 0.837318 1.078407 1.454100 2.066047 3.119838 5.381246
2026-06-14 0.661028 0.841335 1.093176 1.491827 2.155388 3.333716 5.990468
2026-06-21 0.649094 0.830219 1.085301 1.493488 2.183298 3.435289 6.361708
2026-06-28 0.639725 0.822434 1.081971 1.502054 2.223470 3.563930 6.823794